A Scenario-Based Management of Water Resources and Supply Systems Using a Combined System Dynamics and Compromise Programming Approach

Long-term sustainability in water supply systems is a major challenge due to resources depletion, climate change and population growth. This paper presents scenario-based approach for performance assessment of intervention strategies (WRSS). A system dynamics used modelling the key WRSS components their complex interactions with natural human combined multi-criteria decision analysis each scenario. The scenarios combine growth rates groundwater extraction limits against two types strategies. methodology was demonstrated on real-world case study Iran. Results show can provide suitable leading long-term scenario externally imposed systems. For either no threshold or one limit, only effective sustainable preservation are those involving agricultural demand decrease an average recovery rate 130% while other abstraction (constant/increase rates) fail sustainably recover resources. However, all analysed 33% when place. impact conservation quite minor 11% compared 79% between limits.